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Quantum Computing: A Breakthrough in 5 Years or a 20-Year Wait? The Industry Remains Divided

The future of quantum computing continues to spark debate, with industry leaders split on its timeline. While Amazon, Microsoft, and Google predict real-world applications within five years, NVIDIA’s Jensen Huang believes practical quantum computing could take two decades.

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Amazon’s Ocelot chip claims to reduce quantum error correction costs by 90%, while Microsoft’s Majorana 1 chip is designed for industrial-scale quantum applications. Google Quantum AI’s Hartmut Neven remains optimistic about commercial applications by 2030.

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However, Huang’s skepticism led to an $8 billion market selloff, with stocks of quantum computing firms like IonQ, Rigetti, and D-Wave plummeting. Huang argues that qubit performance must improve a million times before quantum computing becomes truly useful.

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Meanwhile, companies like PsiQuantum and Rigetti Computing are forging ahead with strategic partnerships and next-gen chipsets. As the UN declares 2025 the Year of Quantum Science, the race to quantum supremacy is intensifying.

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